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(Original title: The situation here doesn’t feel good)

Memorial service for Hamas leader Haniyeh

The situation here doesn't feel good.

Anger is burning, revenge is brewing, and a large-scale conflict is on the verge of breaking out.

1. Airlines urgently bypass Israel.

United Airlines and Delta Airlines in the United States, Lufthansa, KLM and Air India in Europe have all canceled flights to Tel Aviv, Israel.

Why?

for safety!

2. The Israeli government guides its citizens to seek asylum.

The Jerusalem Municipal Government distributed pamphlets telling citizens what to do if the city was attacked.

For example, to reach the air-raid shelter within 90 seconds, you need to store three days of water and food at home, and in addition to common medicines, prepare batteries and flashlights.

"Residents should prepare for power outages that could last for several days. They should also be prepared to spend several days in bomb shelters," the pamphlet said.

CNN reported that sales of some items in Israeli supermarkets have skyrocketed.

The picture shows an Israeli air-raid shelter

3. Iran is discussing how to retaliate.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has ordered a direct strike against Israel, and the Revolutionary Guards have warned that any response would be "harsh and painful."

According to reports, Iran has also convened representatives of Hezbollah, Hamas, Jihad, the Houthis, and the Iraqi resistance to discuss how to retaliate against Israel.

According to US expectations, Iran's retaliation is likely to be similar to the large-scale missile and drone attacks on Israel in April this year, but may be larger in scale.

It cannot be ruled out that Hezbollah, the Houthis and others will take joint action.

4. Israel is also on high alert.

The IDF is on high alert, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has called an emergency meeting to assess the country's preparedness.

"We are ready for whatever may happen," Netanyahu declared. "Israel is highly prepared for any scenario - defensive or offensive. We will make any act of aggression against us pay dearly."

The Israeli military also announced that it had thwarted several attacks by Hamas and Hezbollah into Israel.

5. The United States is also taking emergency action.

Biden and Netanyahu spoke by phone to discuss how the United States can help Israel defend itself. The White House said Biden"reaffirmed his commitment to Israel's security in response to all threats posed by Iran and its proxy 'terrorist groups' Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis".

Vice President Harris joined the call.

The White House subsequently announced that it would mobilize more military resources to the Middle East, and the Pentagon even hinted that it would send more U.S. troops to the Middle East to strengthen defenses there.

The last time Iran attacked Israel, 99% of its missiles and drones were shot down outside Israel, and the US military played a crucial role.

Iranians mourn Hamas leader Haniyeh

The situation is tense.It feels like Israel is no longer fighting on two or three fronts, but on all four sides.

1. Hamas.

Needless to say, the situation has suddenly become tense, mainly because Israel recently carried out an assassination in Tehran, killing Hamas's top leader Haniyeh.

Israel later claimed to have killed Hamas military leader Dave in Gaza.

Under Israel's fierce attack, blood flowed in Gaza and Hamas suffered heavy losses. But Hamas obviously will not give in, and the rockets it continues to fire from Gaza are an example.

2. Jihad.

Another Palestinian resistance organization is weaker than Hamas, but it fights guerrilla warfare against Israel, which is also a headache for Israel.

3. Hezbollah.

In retaliation for Hezbollah's attack on the Golan Heights, the Israeli army launched an airstrike on Beirut on the same day as Haniyeh's assassination, killing Shukur, a senior Hezbollah leader.

How can Hezbollah give up?

Hezbollah's top leader Nasrallah criticized, "You don't know what red line you have crossed."

He declared that the war between Hezbollah and all resistance fronts and Israel has entered a new stage, and Israel's actions against Shukur and Haniyeh will soon meet an "inevitable response."

4. Houthi armed forces.

Yemen's Houthi rebels pose the greatest threat to Israel's Gaza operations by blocking the Red Sea route.

It not only had a disastrous impact on Israel's port economy, but also greatly disrupted the entire international shipping industry and exerted strong international pressure on Israel.

The Houthis also occasionally launch long-range air strikes on Israeli cities.

5. Iraqi militia forces.

Like the Houthis, they also launch long-range air strikes on Israel from time to time.

6. Iran.

This is Israel's most powerful enemy at present.

The assassination within Iran has undoubtedly completely angered Iran.

Khamenei criticized: "You killed our distinguished guest in our home, thus paving the way for severe retaliation against you. It is our duty to avenge the blood debt of our distinguished guest."

Iran’s retaliation is inevitable.

Turkish Embassy in Israel lowers flag to half-mast

7. Türkiye.

Turkey is a NATO country and was once Israel’s best friend in the Middle East, but now Israel and Turkey are drifting apart.

After Haniyeh was killed, Turkish President Erdogan ordered that Friday be a national day of mourning, the Turkish Embassy in Israel flew its flag at half-mast, and the Turkish Foreign Minister personally went to Qatar to attend Haniyeh's funeral.

This completely angered Israel.

Israeli Foreign Minister Katz summoned the Turkish deputy ambassador and "severely condemned" Türkiye.

"If the Turkish embassy representatives want to mourn, they should do so in Turkey alongside their master, Erdogan, who supports the terrorist organization Hamas and its murders and acts of terror," Israel's Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

Israel is at odds with Turkey again.

Most importantly, what happens next?

Not ruled out.

First, Iran’s massive retaliation.

A large number of missiles and drones are attacking Israel again. In the Middle East, only Iran dares to do this to Israel.

Given the involvement of the United States, the US military and Israel will shoot down most of them.

But it is not ruled out that a small number of missiles and drones hit the targets.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu holds a meeting

Second, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis and others will coordinate their retaliation.

Especially Hezbollah. Hezbollah's strength is not comparable to Hamas. In fact, Israel has already made a plan to fight Hezbollah.

If the conflict expands, the war will spread to the whole of Lebanon.

Third, Israel’s counter-retaliation.

After Iran’s retaliation, can Israel restrain itself and not retaliate?

If Iran can hold back, it will let out its anger and the situation will hopefully be eased. If it can't, it will retaliate, which will mean a new round of conflict.

This is a test for Iran and even more so for Israel.

There have been the first and second conflicts between Israel and Iran, so it is not ruled out that there will be a third, larger-scale conflict. If it cannot be controlled, a full-scale conflict may even break out.

For many things, we often think of the beginning but not necessarily the ending.

This time Israel assassinated Haniyeh in Tehran. I have said before that Israel may have killed three birds with one stone.

1. To deal a severe blow to Hamas; 2. To deter Iran; 3. To warn other anti-Israel armed forces.

But judging from the results, things are often the opposite of what we expect. The most invincible group in the Middle East is Hamas. The thing they fear least is deterrence from their enemies, and the thing that is most difficult to warn is the rising and accumulated hatred.

Hatred is in full swing, life is a joke, every time there is a fierce revenge, the other side will retaliate on a larger scale, the revenge will turn into a war, and the war will burn through one village and city after another...

There is no room for a peaceful desk in the Middle East today.

This is just my personal opinion, not any organization's opinion.

(Content source: Niu Tanqin)