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Recently, the Houthi armed forces in Yemen and Israel have repeatedly "run long distances" against each other's targets. On the 19th, the Houthi armed forces used drones to attack Tel Aviv, Israel. On the evening of the 20th, Israeli Air Force fighter jets launched air strikes on Houthi armed military targets in the Hodeidah area of ​​Yemen. In the early morning of the 21st, the Houthi armed forces attacked the southern Israeli port city of Eilat. Under repeated attacks, can Israel eliminate the threat? And under the current situation, can the United States stay out of the situation in the Red Sea?

Qin Tian, ​​deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations:Now that Israel is fighting the Houthis, it faces at least three challenges or dilemmas. The first isMilitaryYes, Israel has the leading military force in the Middle East. It can weaken, damage and destroy some of the Houthi supply bases and weapons depots in Yemen through military strikes, but it cannot defeat the Houthi armed forces, nor can it overthrow the Houthi armed forces' dominance in some areas of Yemen. I think for Israel, it is impossible to really fight the Houthi armed forces with just one or two air strikes.

Qin Tian, ​​deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations:The second level of challenge isAt the strategic level,Since the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Israel has been faced with a multi-front war. Under such circumstances, Israel's energy and resources are bound to be divided. It is questionable whether it has enough energy and resources to deal specifically with the Houthi armed forces.

Qin Tian, ​​deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations:The third level of challenge isOn the moral level,The Houthi armed forces' attack on Tel Aviv this time is actually for the Palestinian-Israeli issue. Under such circumstances, Israel does not resolve the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, but instead opens up a new front in Yemen, which actually fuels the Yemeni people's opposition to Israel.

If the mutual attacks continue for a long time, the United States will find it difficult to stay out of it.

The US response to the Israeli airstrike on Hodeidah, Yemen, is intriguing. The US said that it did not coordinate with Israel on the airstrike on Hodeidah, Yemen, but it fully recognizes that "Israel has the right to self-defense." US Secretary of Defense Austin reiterated on the 20th the US's so-called "firm commitment" to Israel's security and right to self-defense. Experts believe thatThe United States does not want to be drawn into a new Middle East war, but it cannot stay out of the turbulent situation in the Red Sea.。

Qin Tian, ​​deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations:I think a series of similar statements reflect the overall mentality of the United States.Unwilling to get involved in a Middle East war involving Iran,It alsoUnwilling to intensify conflicts with pro-Iranian or anti-Israel armed groups in the Middle East.The United States does not want to be drawn into a new Middle East war.

Qin Tian, ​​deputy director of the Middle East Institute of the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations:On the other hand, due to the long-term alliance between the United States and Israel and the military cooperation between the two sides, it also participated in the attack to a certain extent.AWACSIsrael has always relied on the support of the United States for tanker support. Israel also relies on the support of some American intelligence to attack Houthi targets. In general, as long as the Houthi armed forces and Israel continue to attack each other for a long time in the future, it is inevitable that the United States will be indirectly or to a certain extent involved.

More than 40 hours after Israel's airstrike on Hodeidah, Yemen, the fire is still burning >>