news

When it comes to the Taiwan military's "Han Guang" exercises, our first impression may be all kinds of "jokes".

For example, a Marine drowned in 1.5 meters of water, a missile accidentally missed the target and hit his own ship, a soldier was afraid of the sun and needed a parasol, a tank soldier's tank was stolen by a thief, the main fighter "Mirage 2000" did not take off after taxiing, and the special operations team was ordered to reinforce but "ran away" first, etc....

In fact, this "Han Guang" can be regarded as the Taiwan authorities' military's highest-level, most heavily participated, largest-scale, most comprehensive, most complex, and most confrontational series of joint offensive and defensive operations exercises among the three armed forces.

Just looking at the introduction, "Han Guang" does seem very professional. But if you look at the "Han Guang" exercises in the past 20 years, you will find that this series of exercises is more like acting, and even the "script" does not change much each time.

Basically, the directorate set the missile interception rate for the Blue Army to be 100%. Then, the result was always the same: the Blue Army successfully repelled the Red Army's landing after a "tenacious fight".

This...how can I put it? I suspect that the script of their director department was copied from India's "anti-China drama".

However, after seeing the PLA's "island lock" military exercises in recent years, it is indeed a bit unreasonable to conduct such a "magic drama"-like deduction. After all, there were Americans observing and evaluating the "Han Guang" throughout the process.

So we see that since 2022, the Taiwan military’s "Han Guang" has been continuously increasing the simulation of street fighting after the imaginary enemy lands.

Before that, the Taiwan military's conception in "Han Guang" was almost entirely to use naval and air forces to resist the PLA's attack on Taiwan.The gap in military power between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait is widening, and the old "script"It has become increasingly unrealistic.Under such circumstances, the DPP authorities began to cooperate with the US proposal of "asymmetric warfare".They attached great importance to street fighting simulations and tried to drag the People's Liberation Army into urban street fighting.

As for the new "script", it is naturally the brave Blue Army soldiers who fought against ten Red Army soldiers one by one in close combat and defeated the Red Army soldiers one by one, completing the "recapture" mission of the relevant areas. The director concluded that the Blue Army won!

Just look at the photo below.

This was a simulation of urban street fighting during last year's Han Kuang exercise, which took place inside Taipei Railway Station.

The Taiwan military combat team actually used the glass door as a shelter!

They hid behind the glass door without being exposed. They must have been wearing the latest black-tech "stealth camouflage suits"!

This year, Lai Ching-te, a diehard Taiwan independence activist, came to power, and the Taiwan military's "Han Guang" exercise was revised into an "unscripted, actual combat" exercise.

As a result, people saw that this year's "Han Kuang 40" cancelled the roles of "Red Army" and "Blue Army" and no longer set up imaginary enemies. It claimed that it would verify the "simulation scenario" issued by the so-called "Comprehensive Arbitration Department".

As early as May and June, the Taiwan military began digging and building trenches in certain exercise areas.

The Taiwan military also announced to the media that in order to show that the exercise is closer to "actual combat", a large number of participating troops and equipment will frequently appear on the streets during the "Han Guang 40" exercise, and the people on the island need to be mentally prepared.

At the same time, the "Han Kuang 40" exercise also selected 12 key locations in the north, central, south and outlying islands for special anti-aircraft landing exercises. They are all located in Taiwan's key infrastructure (ports, airports), military fortresses, beaches, and around the "political and economic center".

Digging trenches and conducting anti-airborne drills seem to be relatively "close to actual combat", but why do we specifically cancel the "hypothetical enemy setting" and replace it with "real simulation scenario"? Without the hypothetical enemy training, is it still a military exercise?

If the Taiwan military believes that using "real simulation scenarios" for verification can replace confrontational training, then why do major armies around the world still attach great importance to confrontational training and even spend huge sums of money to purchase various equipment to increase the degree of simulation?

It turns out that, as mentioned earlier, for such a long time, the Han Kuang exercises had to ensure the victory of the Blue Army representing the Taiwan military, so various clumsy cheating methods were frequently used, which was constantly ridiculed by the outside world.

However, no matter how the DPP authorities struggle, one thing is clear: asking the Taiwan military to fight street battles is indeed very difficult for them. Let alone what the scene will be like once the People's Liberation Army takes action. From Taiwan's perspective alone, there are many unsolvable problems.

Not to mention weapons and equipment, to fight street battles, one must first have a very firm fighting will and a broad mass base.

For many years, the Taiwan military has been seriously short of manpower, and "strawberry soldiers" are prevalent.

Therefore, no matter how much arms Taiwan purchases, it will not be able to form effective combat capability.

This is also an important reason why the United States has been reluctant to sell advanced weapons to the Taiwan authorities - given the combat effectiveness of the Taiwan military, giving them weapons is likely to be equivalent to giving them to the mainland.

As for the mass base, just look at the recent Taiwan election.

The voter turnout for the 2024 Taiwan election was 71.24%, and only 40% of all voters voted for Lai Qingde. In other words, only 30% of Taiwanese people clearly support Lai Qingde.

Even so, the mentality of this group of people still tends to "maintain the status quo", that is, don't fight, don't interfere with my life, anything is fine.

They don't want unification, but they don't want independence either.

They don't want to unify because they think the mainland is too rigid and it may be inconvenient to use a mainland passport in the future. They also resist the mainland's ideology and feel that they can't adapt to it. They don't want independence because they know that independence will lead to war and it will definitely not succeed. The United States may not help them. What's more terrible is that war means death. No one wants to die. Moreover, they have to face more unknowns than unification. Just thinking about it makes my head hurt...

Although these 30% speak more positively verbally, if something really happens, they are unlikely to fight to the death for the so-called "independence" for Lai Ching-te and his gang and the "foreign uncles" behind him.

After all, if that day really comes, those DPP leaders will most likely try their best to escape and try to find ways to flee to the surrounding US military bases (if all goes well), but the other Taiwanese on the island will not be able to leave, and they have to go on with their lives.

In addition, the DPP authorities' recent claim of "universal participation in the war, scorched earth warfare," an attempt to kidnap the people of Taiwan Province onto the chariot, has also been met with strong doubts and opposition.

For example, according to Taiwan’s United Daily News, many temples in Taiwan have recently received official documents from the Taiwan military, requiring them to sign an “Ammunition Pre-Storage Point Support Agreement.”

For a time, residents in the surrounding areas were worried that the ammunition right next to their homes would affect their lives and property, and they issued a joint boycott. In the end, the Taiwan Army Reserve Command clarified that this was just a drill to consider wartime needs, plan to combine civilian resources, and enhance the resilience of logistical support, and no real ammunition was actually placed.

But even so, the people in Taiwan are still in panic.

In addition, the Taiwan military’s current armaments and military training are not suitable for street fighting.

In an interview program of China Television News, retired general Li Zhengjie revealed this. He said that according to his understanding of the Taiwan Army, the existing weapons and equipment, whether light or heavy, are not up to the task of street fighting.

In 1954, the US-Chiang Kai-shek Mutual Defense Treaty came into effect.

The following year, in 1955, our army's first joint sea, land and air operation, the battle to liberate Yijiangshan Island began.

When the People's Liberation Army launched a general offensive on Yijiangshan Island, the US aircraft carrier formation received an urgent order from headquarters - to immediately retreat 30 nautical miles (1 nautical mile = 1.85 kilometers).

Later, in the Chongwu naval battle in 1965, the US fleet behaved in a similar manner - watching the battle from a distance and never intervening.

In 1979, China and the United States formally established diplomatic relations, and the US-Chiang Mutual Defense Treaty was declared invalid by the US government.

Since then, there has been no "mutual defense treaty" of any form between the United States and the Taiwan provincial authorities.

What's more, the US government also publicly recognizes the "One China Principle", which is also a most basic consensus repeatedly emphasized in the 1979 "Joint Communiqué on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations between China and the United States".

Therefore, the United States has no justification for its actions, and coupled with various constraints of the real environment, the probability that Taiwan separatist elements can expect the "heavenly soldiers and generals" from the United States is actually very low.

Let's look at the mainland. In recent years, there has been a trend on our Internet:Land on the island in the morning and get your ID card issued in the afternoon."

This is indeed a bit exaggerated.

Of course, some people will ask, Taiwan Island is no more than 400 kilometers away from the mainland coast, almost completely covered byRocket LauncherThe mainland can even use ships to launch missiles at a range of 100 kilometers, not to mention short-range missiles.Fire coverageThe entire island of Taiwan.

In this case, we can achieve the encirclement of the entire island, so why do we have to land?

The answer is simple - to declare liberation, we must land.

Real military struggle is cruel and realistic. The great cause of reunification cannot afford to fail.

This is an original article. Any reproduction or adaptation without authorization is prohibited!