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Biden election tracking: The "persuasion" team continues to increase, and the consensus on "replacing Harris" is gradually heating up

2024-07-21

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Cailianshe News, July 21 (Editor: Shi Zhengcheng)As of early Sunday morning Beijing time, doubts surrounding whether U.S. President and Democratic Party's presumptive nominee for the 2024 presidential election, Joe Biden, will continue to run for office have further intensified, but there have been no rumors that Biden himself has wavered - which means that the related tug-of-war is likely to continue into next week.

According to the latest update from White House physician Dr. O'Connor,Biden was still taking his medication (Paxlovid) on Saturday morning, and while he still had a "mild, nonproductive cough and hoarseness," his symptoms "continued to improve steadily."

(Source: The White House)

According to Biden, he looks forward to "getting back on the campaign trail" next week after he recovers from his illness, but the reality is that more and more Democratic officials are publicly expressing their opposition.

The "persuasion to quit" team has added more people

On Saturday local time, California Congressman Mark Takano issued a statement saying: "President Biden's greatest achievement remains saving democracy in 2020. He can and must do it again in 2024 - by passing the torch to Vice President Harris and making her the Democratic presidential candidate."

According to local media statistics,Takano is the 36th Democratic congressman to publicly and explicitly call on Biden to "withdraw from the election"

As for the more prestigious leaders within the Democratic Party, they seem to have recently unified their rhetoric to publicly suggest that "Biden should retire."

Well-known Senator Elizabeth Warren made her first statement in an interview on Saturday.Biden 'has a very important decision to make'She further stated,Harris is ready to "step up" and "unite the party" to fight Trump

“If you’re dealing with a convicted criminal, a prosecutor like Kamala is really a great choice,” Warren said, referring to Harris’s former stints as San Francisco district attorney and California attorney general.

Consensus on "Replacing Harris" Gradually Converges

Although no one knows how the specific "replacement" process will work, many Democrats believe thatReplacing Harris would be the quickest way to resolve this turmoil.Obviously, not everyone supports Harris, but the fatigue of the tug-of-war since the end of June is "building consensus."

Some Democratic lawmakers who requested anonymity are also worried that if an open competition situation emerges after Biden withdraws from the election, it will lead to further chaos in the Democratic Party.The Democratic Party needs to complete the formal nomination of the presidential candidate in August, so there is not much time left for all parties.

Those who have the opportunity to challenge the candidate position are also worried that if they openly challenge Harris and Harris eventually loses to Trump, they will be blamed for weakening the cohesion of the party, which will affect their chances of winning the primary in 2028.

In this process, Biden’s choice will be very important——In addition to whether he will withdraw from the race, if he does, he will also need to make it clear whether he supports Harris taking over.

For Biden, this is also a concern of his own.In 2016, after Obama completed two terms in office, he publicly chose Hillary instead of Biden to challenge Trump, which was said to be "very painful" for Biden.At the same time, directly replacing Harris would also bring another layer of risk - personally killing the possibility of "the first black female president of the United States", which would most likely cause the black community to turn against the Democratic Party.

From another perspective, there is still a question about Harris coming off the bench.Will the donors and elites who support Biden support Harris?As Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York said Thursday: “Much of the donor class, much of the elite class, pushed for Joe Biden not to be the nominee, and they don’t want to see the vice president be the nominee.”

The Republicans have begun preparing

Faced with the possibility of "replacing Harris", the Trump-Vance campaign team has already launched countermeasures.

According to an anonymous Republican campaign operator,Republicans are not only very interested in reviewing Harris' past "inaccurate" Q&A videos, but will also ask her over and over again when she first knew about Biden's health problems and the impact of aging. Republicans will also push Biden to resign directly to create more chaos, making Harris even more flustered.

Coincidentally, Vance, who just became Trump's running mate this week, posted on Saturday:If Biden can't run, he should resign immediately

(Source: X)

According to the latest report on Saturday, the Republican camp has begun preparing for Biden's withdrawal from the election, and its main focus is on dealing with the scenario of Harris taking office, including preparing a large number of campaign ads against Harris. Their judgment is based on the fact that the Democratic Party is unlikely to risk offending black voters by bypassing Harris.

The Trump camp has also begun to examine the Democratic governors who may become Harris' running mate. The most popular one at present is Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, which is also a "swing state" with important strategic significance in the general election.

(Shi Zhengcheng, Cailianshe)