news

conflict escalation experts analyze israel’s plans to retaliate against iran

2024-10-07

한어Русский языкEnglishFrançaisIndonesianSanskrit日本語DeutschPortuguêsΕλληνικάespañolItalianoSuomalainenLatina

in the context of increasing tensions between lebanon and israel, there is also the possibility of an escalation of conflict between iran and israel. especially after iran launched a large-scale missile attack on israel on the 1st of this month, the possibility of an escalation of the conflict between the two sides became increasingly greater. on october 4, a u.s. state department official stated that israel has not assured the united states that it will not carry out retaliatory strikes against iran’s nuclear facilities. so, what approach will israel take if it retaliates against iran?

israel is planning four ways to attack iran

niu xinchun, executive director of the china institute of arab studies at ningxia university: whether it is an attack on nuclear facilities or an attack on energy facilities, it is a major escalation of the conflict. several methods of attack that israel is now considering:

just like the targeted elimination of nasrallah, the leader of lebanese hezbollah, it also targeted the elimination of iranian leaders; strikes against iran's air defense system; strikes against iran's energy facilities; and strikes against iran's nuclear facilities.

compared with iran and israel attacking each other's homeland in april, these four options are all major upgrades, but attacking nuclear facilities may be the most serious, and attacking energy facilities will also have a great impact. the united states does not want israel to attack iranian energy facilities now, but how much influence the united states has on israel now is a big question.

also on october 4, fadawi, deputy commander of iran’s islamic revolutionary guard corps, said that if israel makes any mistakes, iran will target all israeli energy and transportation facilities, including refineries and natural gas fields. he said that iran has many economic centers, but israel only has a few power plants and refineries, and iranian attacks can cover these targets at the same time.

iranian military's statement aims to deter israel

niu xinchun, executive director of the china institute of arab studies at ningxia university: iran’s current stance is to deter israel. if israel dares to attack iran, iran will make it pay the price. iran has struck israel before, both times targeting military targets. since israel sent out information that it might attack iranian energy facilities, iran has also responded tit-for-tat, saying that if israel wants to attack energy facilities, iran is also capable of attacking israeli energy facilities and israeli civilian facilities. these are threats to israel, hoping that israel will not expand the conflict.