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the stock market trend is not based on guessing. it can only be done based on the specific trend and making corresponding judgments. when the price is below 3,000 points, everyone predicts where the lowest point will be every day. after the rebound, everyone predicts where the highest point will be every day...

in fact, those who predict these lowest points and highest points will definitely miss out at the bottom and take over at the top. people who don’t have a trading system will think that everything they look at is predicting the rise or fall. at 2700 points, xiaofan’s worst expectation is still 2400 points, which does not mean it will happen.

a bull market has begun

foreign investors’ forecast for a-shares is also 2,400 points, which does not affect their efforts to build positions in batches on the left side, nor does it affect their ability to revise their predictions and enter the market later. the market is dynamic, and some people like to look at it with static thinking and do not know how to deal with the market.

wherever it falls, it's just a difference between covering up the position to 80%, or 90%, or even full position. wherever it goes up, it's just a difference between reducing the position to 50%, or 40%, or even less...

novices look at the ups and downs of everything, veterans look at technology, and experts look at logic.we need to be clear, what is the logic of this bull market? why did it rise? why did the market not pull up at 2635 points? it can rebound at 2689 points!

it has nothing to do with the good news. last year and the first half of the year were also good news. this is because the liquor market and banks experienced a complete correction in early september. the chips on the main board are nothing more than the valuation of liquor and banks.

in fact, they still did not fall through the cracks, they just ran out of time and cut interest rates beyond expectations. the pricing logic of these core assets is related to liquidity. intrinsic valuation is relatively static. during a bull market or when recovery is expected, the valuation will be at a premium. however, the price/performance ratio of the main board is still not as good as that of the small and medium-sized index and hong kong stocks. facts have proved that the logic is not broken.

where will the market rebound?

the market will not pull back easily. increasing funds are on the way. the market has not said it will cool down. it has been falling for three years and has finally risen. why should it cool down? we need to be clear about who wants the stock market to rise and who creates the fluctuations.

the market needs to get away from 3,000 points quickly. the market situation is a bit similar to the end of june 2020, but it is not the same as in 2014. if there is a correction of a few hundred points in the future, just don’t fall below 3,000. this is a bull market reversal confirmed here, and it must rise quickly! there is a high probability that the space will increase by several hundred points. there is a cushion...

even if there is a correction, it will be very mild and the decline will not be very large. there is no valuation risk here and there is no basis for a plunge! it’s just gone up a lot, but not to a very high position. 100 yuan has dropped to 10 yuan, and now it’s rebounded by 50%, or 100%. you think you’re panicking, but in fact, the stock price may be lower than the price at the beginning of the year...

those who are desperate and want to fill their positions at 2400 points, even if it reaches 2400 points, they will compromise, why not fill their positions at 2399 points? those are gods, not investments, and not ordinary people.

be respectful of the market, keep heavy positions in the bottom area, and light positions in the top area, whether it is a short cycle or a mid- to long-term cycle. the stock market is like this. most people need to learn to be in awe. newbies believe in rise and fall predictions. don't believe in yourself or others, believe in your trading system!

guo xiaofan finance, signed as the first creator, please do not plagiarize or transfer! beware of fake names, deformed avatars, etc. only these 5 words can be used to identify the number of fans or professional certifications. we will not proactively contact anyone, and we will not share any stocks! this is a compilation of personal review opinions and should not be used as a basis for investment. you are responsible for your profits and losses.

the words of one person are for reference only. investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market!