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"all the bonuses have begun to subside, which is not good for lai qingde in this situation."

according to a september poll first exposed by taiwan's "beautiful island electronic news", taiwan leader lai ching-te's satisfaction dropped from 54.4% in august to 50.8% in september, and his dissatisfaction rose from 33.2% to 38.6%; trust level it fell from 58.9% to 52.5%, and distrust rose from 30.3% to 38.3%. wu zijia, a media person on the island, said that lai qingde's poll dropped by 6 percentage points, and the dividends from fighting corruption have begun to subside.

▲lai qingde and ke wenzhe (right)

wu zijia said on september 27 that theoretically, after the people's party chairman ke wenzhe was taken into custody, the polls were going to fall, but they did not fall. this was strange. instead, lai qingde fell. one of his intuitive reactions was,the so-called judicial marginal effects and all the dividends in lai qingde's case against ke wenzhe have begun to subside, which is not good for lai qingde in this situation.

why did ke wenzhe's poll hold on to the bottom instead of falling? wu zijia said that it is because of the people's party and democratic party huang guochang and this group of people, and the entire opposition forces, including the blue army, that their arguments are effective, that is, "you just can't find the money flow, you can only do it for my profit, for profit" it is political pursuit, judicial injustice, and judicial persecution."if this becomes the main discussion, lai qingde will definitely be injured.。

wu zijia even analyzed that the polls of lai ching-te and zhuo rongtai, the head of taiwan's administrative agency, both declined. lai ching-te lost about 6 percentage points, and the negative one increased by about 8 percentage points. for lai qingde, this is a sharp decline and a warning sign.

wu zijia pointed out that what happened in the past month or so was not just ke wenzhe’s case. has the so-called "dividend of fighting corruption" begun to decline? the factors behind lai qingde's decline in polls must be mixed with various other comprehensive social factors.

wu zijia believes that if ke wenzhe cannot be suppressed and the case is handled beautifully,then it may be necessary to continue to detain ke, so that the enemies of the 2028 "general election" can be completely eliminated politically, and only then can lai qingde's polls move upward.this has formed an interactive relationship between politics and justice."if ke wenzhe had not been killed, lai qingde would have been seriously injured."

why is lai ching-te's poll numbers declining? huang yangming, a media person on the island, does not think it is wu zijia's "decline in anti-corruption dividends". he believes that the main reasons are as follows. first of all, there is no evidence of a single kill in ke wenzhe's case. at present, the cohesion of the people's party has become stronger. they dissatisfaction with lai qingde has also intensified; secondly, there are people's livelihood issues, and the increase in electricity bills has caused public dissatisfaction; thirdly, the housing loan policy has caused vested interests to suffer, and young people in taiwan cannot see the future.