2024-09-28
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the results of the presidential election of the liberal democratic party of japan were announced on the 27th. the former secretary-general of the party, shigeru ishiba, defeated sanae takaichi, the minister in charge of economic and security, in the second round of voting and was elected president of the liberal democratic party. according to usual practice, the japanese government will convene an interim parliament on october 1, and shigeru ishiba is expected to take over as prime minister after being nominated by the parliament.
shigeru ishiba is a veteran in japanese politics. he is known as the "veteran" because he has served as a member of parliament for 38 years."full sense of stability"he has served in four prime ministerial cabinets including koizumi, fukuda, aso and abe and held important positions. he also served as the "second-in-command" secretary-general and the "third-in-command" policy investigation chairman in the liberal democratic party. therefore, shigeru ishiba also has a nickname:"policy access".
kishida fumio's expression...
however, for such a political veteran with a glorious resume, shigeru ishiba has never been able to take a step towards the prime minister's position in politics. the main reason is that he is treacherous and capricious: in 2012, shigeru ishiba competed with shinzo abe for the liberal democratic party. president, although the final winner was abe, shigeru ishiba also showed his influence within the party. therefore, in order to win over shigeru ishiba, abe invited him to serve as secretary-general of the liberal democratic party.
however, his unfortunate defeat to shinzo abe and his appointment as the "second-in-command" of the liberal democratic party greatly stimulated ishiba's ambitions. in 2016, in order to realize his dream of presiding over the opening of the tokyo olympics, abe asked to amend the liberal democratic party's party constitution to extend his term.was strongly opposed by ishiba shigeru.therefore, during the cabinet reshuffle that year, shigeru ishiba was simply kicked out of the leadership of the liberal democratic party by abe.
shigeru ishiba is also two-dimensional
at that time, japanese media stated that abe had communicated with ishiba several times in private, hoping that he would not escalate the conflict.but shigeru ishiba has never given abe face.instead, he has repeatedly made it difficult for abe to step down from power in public.
originally, ishiba's "backstabbing" abe was nothing, because what the party bosses were even more disgusted with was that ishiba was criticizing factionalism and corruption in the liberal democratic party, calling himself a "non-partisan" person, and at the same time blatantly forming gangs. party - the 2021 liberal democratic party presidential election, formed by shigeru ishiba, shinjiro koizumi and taro kono"little rock river alliance,"supporting taro kono to challenge fumio kishida was actually abe's sword aimed at kishida's back, eventually forcing aso to step down and side with kishida.
ishiba shigeru's capricious attitude and his attitude of only seeking to climb up are also reflected in his external remarks.
after abe's death, ishiba shigeru began to pretend to "cry mourning"
now the first impression ishiba gave us,he is a very typical right-wing politician:before fumio kishida announced that he would give up re-election in august, shigeru ishiba himself had just visited taiwan to meet with lai qingde. although it is common for japanese congressmen without public office to visit taiwan, it should be noted thatso far, there has never been anyone like shigeru ishiba in japan.knowing that he was a popular candidate for prime minister, he openly visited taiwan to provoke before the election.
however, shigeru ishiba was not such an extreme right-wing politician in his early years. although he avoids historical issues such as comfort women and the nanjing massacre,but they also criticized japanese politicians for visiting the "yasukuni shrine".he said that the reason why japan exists today is because it "accepted the tokyo trial" and that the war of aggression launched by japan was "the emperor sending ignorant people to the battlefield."
however, compared with the historical view and the overall view,shigeru ishiba prefers the prime minister's throne where abe and kishida sit.during this year’s liberal democratic party presidential election, shigeru ishiba repeatedly made extreme remarks to cater to the right-wing forces within the party, such asadvocate that the self-defense forces should establish bases in the united states,promote the establishment of an "asian version of nato" and call on the united states to give japan more say in the use of nuclear weapons.
given shigeru ishiba's popularity within the liberal democratic party, he may not be able to stay in office for long.
at the same time, coupled with the fact that many factions of the liberal democratic party have announced their dissolution due to the black gold scandal, this election of the liberal democratic party will also give shigeru ishiba, a "veteran" in the political arena, an opportunity to fish in troubled waters.
but as mentioned above, ishiba shigeru is extremely soft.everything he did was to fulfill his dream of being prime minister.so despite ishiba's many flattering remarks, only after he becomes prime minister will he understand what it means to not be a householder and not know how expensive food, rice, oil and salt are.
in addition, japan's diplomatic stance is greatly restricted by the united states. before kishida was elected, he was called a china-knowledge faction. as a result, under pressure from the united states and japan's political ecology, didn't he become a hardliner after becoming prime minister?