2024-09-27
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10 new films are scheduled to be released during the national day, jackie chan and andy lau fight with gods, pre-sale starts, zhao liying wins
national day is coming.
for chinese movies in 2024, this will be the last and strongest period of the year. whether it is strong enough or not, at least it should be better than the overall sluggish summer and mid-autumn festival.
there are ten new films released during the national day holiday this year, covering war, crime, action, disaster, science fiction, adventure, dance drama, comedy and other genres. among them, there are 8 live-action films, which is 2 more than last year’s national day release.
there are three movies released on september 30:the war movie directed by chen kaige "volunteer army: battle of life and death", the high-altitude action film "" starring andy lau and zhang zifengcrisis route", "life events" directed by liu jiangjiangsafe entry and exit》。
there are 7 movies released on october 1:the science fiction action film "749 games", "" starring zhao liying and xiao yangroad to fire", ge youninghao's "popular good guy", jackie chan's "panda project", the musical "only green", and two domestic animated films.
according to maoyan data, as of 7:00 on september 27, the top three pre-sales (including screenings) of new national day movies in 2024 are: "road to fire", "749 bureau" and "volunteers: battle of life and death". this is also the current 10 the three movies with the highest previews on january 1st.
the advantages of pre-sales and film scheduling may not be the final outcome, but it is now basically certain that the 2024 national day box office champion will appear between the box office combination of zhao liying, xiao yingqiu, lu chuan, wang junkai, and wu jing and zhu yilong.
once the box office takes off, the current pre-sale advantage will no longer count. whoever has the strongest reputation can quickly reverse the gap.
however, if i were to sum it up, i think the first impression of this year’s national day films is that they are long.
please see the statistics of film length——
"road to fire" is 126 minutes, "749 bureau" is 123 minutes, "volunteer 2" is 144 minutes, "crisis line" is 119 minutes, "panda project" is 99 minutes, "safety" is 134 minutes, "breaking good" is 113 minutes minute.
except for "only green" and the two cartoons, which are limited to about 90 minutes, the other films are not short at all. of course, every director has his own considerations. directors cannot be required to make all films into short films, but long films movies have to compete with short videos for viewers, and length is not necessarily an advantage.
except for war epics like "volunteers", which i have no idea about making longer, my suggestions for other movies are: directors! make it shorter!
next, is a national day movie viewing guide that combines genres, lineups, reputations of premiere films, etc.
i hope every dollar you spend on the 2024 national day stalls will be spent appropriately.feel free to surf the national day schedule!
chen kaige+wu jing and zhu yilong, will it be the most stable billion-dollar blockbuster on national day?
suitable for: fans of "volunteer army 1", fans of wu jing, fans of zhu yilong, fans of domestic war movies, fans of domestic big scenes
if you think "volunteers 1" is good to watch, then this sequel to "volunteers 1" directed by chen kaige and starring zhu yilong, xin baiqing, zhang zifeng, and zhu yawen, and the second part of chen kaige's volunteer army trilogy, will definitely be your cup of tea. just go.
it is called the "battle of life and death" because the story mainly tells what mr. peng called the battle of life and death for the volunteer army in the war to resist u.s. aggression and aid korea - the cheorwon blockade.
25,000 chinese people's volunteers faced nearly 50,000 people from four enemy divisions.
looking at the trailer, the film pattern is still top-notch among domestic war films.
the battle line stretched and the scene was extremely grand.
the special effects and lenses are carefully polished, and as director chen kaige said: "this battle is not only about bravery and spirit, but also requires a lot of precise, effective, mobile and flexible strategies and tactics. when the firepower and troop strength are hugely different from the enemy's under certain circumstances, clever methods such as digging trenches and using large rocks to block tanks are used to win.”
you will definitely see these in the film.
just from my personal experience, the characters are also more delicate.
in particular, the three brothers and sisters played by zhu yilong, xin baiqing and zhang zifeng, who were foreshadowed in the previous film, meet on the battlefield. whether the recruits experience and grow in the war, or the brother-sister relationship between the three, it is very interesting.
the reputation of "volunteers 1" was the best during last year's national day release. i wouldn't be surprised if this one wins again.
in addition to the shocking war scenes, the film will definitely reproduce the heroic and unyielding spirit and deeds of the "heroic iron army" in detail. in the trailer, i was a little moved by the shots of group portraits of volunteers all over the mountains and plains.
《volunteer army: heroes attack"the final box office was 868 million yuan. the results were not ideal, and the quality of the lineup was comparable. compared with the previous "changjin lake" and "watergate bridge" have a big gap.
this film has the blessing of zhu yilong and guest appearances by wu jing and others.
as the only major war movie in the schedule, i think the box office of the film should be the most stable during the national day period. the box office of other films is up and down. "volunteers 2" has a stable box office of over 1 billion.
lu chuan should avenge his shame, but can the box office surpass "the nine-story demon tower"?
suitable for the crowd: wang junkai fans, domestic science fiction fans, visual spectacle lovers, and viewers looking forward to another win for domestic science fiction.
as a film that lu chuan worked hard on, the birth of "749 games" itself provides the audience with something to watch, with plot twists and emotional ups and downs.
coupled with the continued efforts of wang junkai's fans, the pre-sales of the film are not bad.
but lu chuan's biggest opponent this time is actually himself.
as early as 2015, director lu chuan added how 749 bureau was born and the 1979 kunlun mountain giant skeleton incident in "nine-storey demon tower". for me personally, "749 bureau" is even a bit like the sequel to "nine-story demon tower".
although the lineup of wang junkai, miao miao, zheng kai, ren min, xin baiqing, li meng, zhang junning, jin shijia, and yu ailei has all been changed.
but the film’s strong sci-fi monster-fighting flavor has not changed.
judging from the trailer, except for those who don't particularly want to see the cruel plot of a group of monsters destroying human troops, "749 bureau" can satisfy the entertainment effect of a science fiction adventure action movie.
the main plot is that the young ma shan, played by wang junkai, enters the 749th round, faces the attack of the mysterious monster, and finally completes his self-growth.
apart from fans of wang junkai, what ordinary viewers of this kind of special effects blockbuster want to see most is the exciting action scenes. lu chuan's courage to have the film added to the national day schedule at the "buzzer beat" should be because he has confidence in the film's special effects.
the hidden danger at the box office is that fans of wang junkai have encountered "the hedgehog" and "wild child" one after another, which has overdrawn their purchasing power to a certain extent. if the film wants to have a long-term success, its reputation must be significantly improved compared to "the nine-story demon tower".
the audience will not be stingy in their support for good domestic science fiction. the success of the monster action movie "alien: death ship" is close at hand, and the success or failure lies in lu chuan's own hands.
the combination of zhao liying + xiao yang is a sure winner, not to mention that the film is about anti-trafficking.
suitable for the crowd: zhao liying fans, xiao yang fans, liu ye fans, crime genre fans, anti-trafficking theme audiences
first of all, let me declare that i am a lover of zhao liying. but i don’t think it’s time to be blindly optimistic now.
the film's pre-sales are indeed leading, even exceeding expectations, but this only proves the great support of zhao liying and xiao yang for this anti-trafficking crime film.
or to put it more directly, it proves zhao liying's strong fan power and xiao yang's strong box office appeal in the crime genre.
but this genre itself is actually relatively niche. it tells the story of three parents who have lost their children and embark on a journey to find their children. they stage a dangerous counterattack with a group of human traffickers in a wilderness.
this story reminds me of cao baoping's western crime films. if five hundred really shoots the film to that level, the upper limit of the film will be obvious.
of course, zhao liying is a huge bonus, because in the past this type of film appealed more to male audiences, but zhao liying's appeal to female audiences should not be underestimated.
if the film can be both high-burning, refreshing and touching. then the film is really likely to break the box office ceiling of this genre and become zhao liying's "road through fire" as the leading actor to carry the box office.
peng shun is ok again this time, can andy lau win back a round?
suitable for the crowd: andy lau fans, zhang zifeng acting fans, "burn it out" action movie lovers
this film is the first among the national day blockbusters to start screening.
if i'm not mistaken, there are two reasons for this: first, the film studio has a firm grasp on quality, and second, the film company also knows that director peng shun's previous films have had poor reputations, so the only way is to use word of mouth to support the box office.
as "china's first 10,000-meter-high crime blockbuster", the film tells the story of the fight between international security expert gao haojun (played by andy lau) and the robbers headed by mike (played by qu chuxiao) in a passenger plane at an altitude of 10,000 meters. .
compared with "captain of china", which grossed a super high box office of 2.9 billion yuan during the national day release, it is actually closer to an action blockbuster like "the rescue". the high altitude is just the background for hua ge to fight for his life.
this is also andy lau's second starring role in an action film after "anti-drug 2". the hard-hitting action scenes combine the special space of the damaged passenger plane and the thrilling extreme rescue story. it is a great test of the actor's skills and dedication. from the early release judging from the reputation, peng shun's performance this time far exceeded expectations, and andy lau is still the same andy lau.
as a craftsman-like director of genre films, peng shun is prone to overturning once his control is exceeded, but he can make a neat genre film that uses violence to counter violence.
audiences who have watched it generally believe that this 10,000-meter high-altitude duel between a lone hero and a fierce gangster is full of tension. the pressure of close combat and the impact of gunfights fill the atmosphere.
the female characters are no longer tools, especially zhang zifeng's blind daughter who becomes her father's "eyes". the scene where father and daughter team up to survive a desperate situation is great to watch.
in short, there are all kinds of burning and all kinds of hua ge fighting for their lives.
the last movie "mr. red carpet" made many people question andy lau's appeal. i think it is nonsense. andy lau represents the last box office appeal of hong kong stars in the mainland market. he has no audience for hong kong films to close.
the problem is that there is an audience for this type of disaster action movie if it is well made, but the upper limit is not enough. now it depends on the subsequent reputation of the film and whether it can fly out of the "crisis route".
zhu yilong replaces xiao yang, can liu jiangjiang win again?
suitable for the crowd: there are fans of true love themes in the world, and fans of the "life events" style of painting
in 2022, director liu jiangjiang's debut film "life events" won a box office of over 1.7 billion, and zhu yilong won the best actor title again with this film.
this is of course the background for this film to appear. without the success of this film, there is a high probability that capital will not nod to the story of "safety", which is somewhat contrary to the market trend.
the film is adapted from real events. it tells the story of a death row inmate zheng ligang (played by xiao yang) who was suddenly hit by an earthquake on the way to the execution ground. after surviving the accident, he joined a special rescue team temporarily organized by police officer yu chixiao (played by ayunga). while rescuing people, he is looking for opportunities to return to his wife.
the biggest problem with the film is that the genre is unclear. the audience doesn't know whether it is an earthquake movie like "tangshan earthquake", a road movie, or an emotional film, so pre-sales were not good.
the chance of a comeback lies in word-of-mouth and xiao yang's performance.
the key to the movie is the choice of human nature.
the death row prisoner zheng ligang, played by xiao yang, was supposed to be executed but unexpectedly survived. "run or save" was the choice he faced. judging from the reviews, xiao yang's performance is likely to win him a series of best actor nominations, especially the acting sequence before being shot. it may be another classic scene after similar performances by deng chao and louis koo.
the first risk of the film lies in the overly depressing atmosphere, and the second is the treatment of the female characters. the wife played by nazha spent all her savings to buy the best urn for her husband, and firmly said, you are mine. , death is my dead man.
i'm not sure how it will work once it's released.
in any case, the theme of earthquake rescue is a breakthrough in domestic topic selection. i am both worried and looking forward to the film.
after all, the director brought unexpected surprises last time.
hope you continue to have good luck this time.
both ning hao and ge you can win back the reputation, but the box office is still hard to say.
suitable for: ning hao lovers, ge you lovers, northern comedy lovers
there are two comedies on the national day schedule this year, "the big hit" starring ge you and "panda project" by jackie chan.
ning hao, the director of "breaking good guys", continues to talk about "me and my motherland” and the story of zhang beijing, a good man from beijing, in “my hometown and me”.
ning hao has been doing well in this series, and the current premiere has received unanimous praise. they believe that ning hao has not only produced another good life comedy, but also once again demonstrated his deep insight and delicate portrayal of the lives of small people.
ge you's performance is even more impeccable. zhang beijing can be said to be the most popular character in the "i" series, ordinary and imperfect, simple and simple, warm and down-to-earth.
in short, everything still feels familiar. ning hao doesn't let himself go like in "mr. red carpet". coupled with ge you's stable performance, the film will definitely not be bad.
but the problem is the story.
the film tells the story of zhang beijing accidentally becoming famous on the internet and transforming into an "internet celebrity" who helps netizens everywhere. it was perfect for the era of "party a and party b", but it is really not exciting enough to watch now.
as a representative figure of beijing-style comedy, as soon as zhang beijing, played by ge you, opens his mouth, the familiar flavor of "uncle ge" comes back. but it may also mean that the film will mainly impress northern audiences, but the southern market will be slightly less successful.
in short, the reputation is firmly won, and the box office will depend on other films.
jackie chan needs a "plan a" now
suitable for the crowd: jackie chan lovers, panda lovers
in fact, it doesn't matter what you film, but now jackie chan needs a film with a strong reputation to regain his blood.
that's the point.
many people question jackie chan's box office appeal. i think jackie chan's audience is not gone, but invisible. whether he can come out depends on whether jackie chan can use a movie like "the british show" to get his reputation back.
"panda project" features the super-popular panda cub hu hu (played by hu hu), plus comedians such as wei xiang, shi ce, jia bing, etc. the story reminds me of jackie chan's past "baby project".
but director zhang luan's level may not be at the same level as chen musheng's for the time being. all viewers who love jackie chan wish him well, but it may be difficult to counterattack with this movie.
i had a strong desire to be slapped in the face.
it’s hard for dance drama movies to break through, but good movies are worth it
suitable for the crowd: original dance lovers, musical lovers
the film is adapted from the sensational dance-poetry of the same name. judging from the materials, the production is also very sophisticated. i have no doubt that the quality of the film is an aesthetic feast.
but the audience does not have the habit of consuming such films, so a box office of 50 million yuan is considered good.
by the way, this film stars zhang han.
suitable for the crowd: domestic animation lovers
"big-headed son and little-headed dad" is a classic animation ip full of national sentiments. "pipilu and lu xixi: 309 darkroom" is adapted from the original work of the same name by "fairy tale king" zheng yuanjie.
both cartoons have a certain presence, but they are still far behind the "bear bears" series. facing the competition from the "transformers" animation, if they can win their own share in the national day file, they will complete the task.
looking back, the national day theaters finally gave me the feeling of watching movies before.
the theater chain, which has been silent for a long time, is finally about to experience a big explosion.
the current high point for national day movies is still 2019, when three blockbusters including "my motherland and me", "captain of china" and "the climber" were released, earning a total of 4.466 billion in seven days.
2021 is another peak, especially driven by the mainland box office champion "changjin lake", the market almost broke the record.
last year, the market was driven by two 1 billion+ movies, "rock solid" and "ex 4", and the schedule achieved a score of 2.7 billion+.
therefore, the key to whether the national day market is hot or not is whether a blockbuster movie can be released.
the market this year has not yet seen a hit like "changjin lake", but there are many potential players. it reminds me of the 2023 summer season, which was not optimistic in advance. in the end, it achieved a counterattack in the entire schedule with many dark horses.
are you your first choice for the national day show, wu jing, zhu yilong, zhao liying, xiao yang, or andy lau?
in any case, let us wish chinese movies a "battery" at the box office.
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