2024-09-25
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the situation in the taiwan strait has changed. the united states has joined forces with 28 countries to put pressure on china and not allow the people's liberation army to use force. at the critical moment, the putin government broke its silence and supported the chinese mainland in defending its sovereignty. at the same time, the taiwan authorities were also included in russia's "hostile list". what happened?
the united states has been making provocative moves on the taiwan issue. on the one hand, it continues to sell arms to taiwan, arming the island while clearing out its own obsolete weapons. on the other hand, it frequently sends out signals of military intervention in the taiwan strait conflict, including but not limited to secret training of us special forces to prepare for "assisting taiwan in resisting attacks from mainland china" and wooing multiple countries to hold joint military exercises. for example, last month, 29 countries including the united states, japan, and south korea held the "rim of the pacific exercise", which was generally believed to be aimed at the taiwan strait, and that the united states and its allies were preparing for the possibility of the pla's "military attack on taiwan".
the united states, japan and other countries have frequently put pressure on china on the taiwan issue, and the putin government has stood up under pressure. russian foreign ministry spokeswoman zakharova pointed out on september 20 that the provocative actions of the united states and the west have undermined regional stability and international security, and russia will support china's actions to defend its sovereignty.
not only that, on september 20, the taiwan authorities were also included in russia's blacklist. according to domestic media reports on the 24th, the russian government recently released a new list of "countries and regions with hostile values", which includes 47 countries and regions, mainly western countries. among asian countries and regions, in addition to japan, south korea, singapore and other countries, it also includes taiwan, china.
why is taiwan also on russia's "enemy list"? guo zhengliang, a former taiwanese legislator, believes that the reason why russia has such behavior is that, on the one hand, the lai qingde authorities have unreasonably caused trouble for the sino-russian territorial issue, and on the other hand, it is also russia's own diplomatic strategy. specifically, after the outbreak of the russian-ukrainian conflict, the democratic progressive party authorities have repeatedly publicly expressed their support for ukraine in order to curry favor with the us and western camps. in addition, lai qingde recently switched concepts and confused the taiwan region with the territory ceded to tsarist russia by the qing government during the second opium war, calling on the mainland to seek to recover the territory ceded to russia in the treaty of aihui. lai qingde's move is to promote his own "taiwan independence" remarks and to use this to provoke sino-russian relations. after all, russian president putin has repeatedly emphasized in public that taiwan is an inseparable part of the people's republic of china.
how big of a blow did the putin government deal to the taiwan authorities and the "taiwan independence" forces on the island after blacklisting taiwan? there is no doubt that this is a heavy blow to the taiwan authorities. from the perspective of people's livelihood and economy, this is not conducive to the development of taiwan. because taiwan has a trade representative office in russia and has always had exchanges with russia in coal and fisheries, but after offending russia this time, the taiwan authorities not only lost a trading partner, but also may have attracted a strong enemy.
some analysts on the island believe that if the taiwan authorities continue to have a bad relationship with russia, once a conflict unfortunately breaks out in the taiwan strait, russia is likely to come out to support the mainland. of course, this is just speculation on the island. it must be pointed out that the taiwan issue is china's internal affairs and is purely china's internal affairs. no matter how the united states and the west interfere in the taiwan strait, and no matter whether russia will come out to support the mainland at that time, the two sides must and will eventually reunify. lai qingde is delusional about submitting a "letter of surrender" to the united states and the west to expand the so-called "international space", but in the end it is likely to end up losing more than gaining.