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[in the future, external demand will still have a basic foundation under the support of the electronic cycle and new advantageous industries. in terms of domestic demand, the increased attention paid to consumption by the policy side is expected to bring incremental demand. the slowdown in residents' income growth and the weakening of consumer confidence will restrict the recovery of consumption. pay attention to the subsequent relevant policies to protect stable growth.]

in september 2024, the "first financial chief economist confidence index" released by the first financial research institute was 49.96, slightly below the boom-bust line of 50. economists believe that under the influence of internal and external disturbances, my country's economic recovery is still under pressure, and further economic stabilization policies are needed to restore effective demand.

confidence index: the confidence index in september was 49.96

confidence index (september 2024)

average: 49.96

maximum value 50.5

minimum value 49

the "first financial chief economist confidence index" for september released by the first financial research institute was 49.96, slightly below the boom-bust line of 50. economists believe that under the influence of internal and external disturbances, my country's economic recovery is still under pressure, and further policies are needed to restore effective demand.

cai wei of kpmg said that various economic data since the third quarter show that the current economic operation pressure is still great. in august, the manufacturing pmi accelerated its decline, and the production, demand and price indices were all running in the contraction range. the drag of insufficient effective demand continued to appear, and the problem of domestic supply and demand imbalance remained prominent. at the same time, the global economic prosperity declined, and there was also a risk of marginal slowdown in external demand. in contrast, the non-manufacturing pmi rebounded slightly with the support of the recovery of the service industry driven by summer consumption, but the construction industry's prosperity slowed down for four consecutive months due to the slow infrastructure and the sluggish real estate. with the end of the holiday, the sustainability of the expansion of the non-manufacturing boom remains to be seen.