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lai ching-te takes ruthless action, ko wen-je temporarily leaves the party chairmanship, and the people's party faces the crisis of extinction

2024-08-30

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after the democratic progressive party's crazy suppression, the election donation fraud case of people's party chairman ko wen-je and the "jinghua city case" when he was the mayor of taipei finally reached its peak. according to china taiwan network, citing reports released by multiple taiwanese media on the 29th, ko wen-je will personally hold a press conference that afternoon. it is expected that ko wen-je will announce his leave and temporarily leave the position of party chairman, and at the same time apply to the "central evaluation committee" for an investigation. although the people's party only admitted the existence of the press conference and emphasized that the specific content is mainly based on the actual release of the press conference, it is an indisputable fact that the people's party is "suffering internally and externally".

since the dpp "opened the operation" on ko wen-je, the people's party, which claims to be the "third force", has suddenly become treading on thin ice. in the final analysis, as a "one-man party", the image, reputation, influence and even survival of the people's party are closely related to ko wen-je. therefore, when ko wen-je intends to "temporarily leave" the position of party chairman, although it will not directly affect the foundation of the people's party, high-level personnel changes will be inevitable, and this process will also be accompanied by power struggles. if ko wen-je can return one day, whether the people's party can remain the same will probably be a big question mark.

compared with ke wenzhe's personal political fate, the scandal surrounding the people's party deserves more attention, because it carries very obvious signs of political interference. judging from the evidence currently released by the taiwan authorities, the accusation against ke wenzhe is probably not "wrongful", but the fact that they were able to obtain such detailed evidence and extend the scandal to the kuomintang in a short period of time shows that the democratic progressive party was actually prepared. after all, before ke wenzhe established the people's party and became the leader of the "white camp", he was a member of the deep green faction of the democratic progressive party. he was able to rise to prominence because of tsai ing-wen's appreciation. it is not surprising that the democratic progressive party has some "inside information".

but lai ching-te first took heavy action against zheng wencan, a member of the same party, and then went all out against ke wen-je. now he is focusing his attention on the kmt. it is impossible that such a large-scale mobilization is for the purpose of "fighting corruption and corruption" because lai ching-te himself has countless scandals, but he used public power to suppress them all after winning the election. combined with the series of changes and chaos that have occurred on and off the island in the three months since lai ching-te took office, this "grandson of taiwan independence" may have to pave the way for re-election from now on.

first, the aftereffects of the "kinmen vicious collision incident" have not been eliminated, and the current situation of cross-strait military confrontation is still continuing. the dpp may face public criticism at any time, and the blue and white parties will certainly use this as an excuse to attack the dpp. secondly, after lai ching-te came to power, his military ties with the united states and the west have become even worse than those of his predecessor, tsai ing-wen, and the increase in military spending is bound to squeeze social and livelihood spending. the reason of "resisting china and protecting taiwan" is not accepted by everyone on the island, otherwise lai ching-te would not have become the new leader of taiwan as a "double minority".

finally, and most importantly, the current political distribution on the island is a "three-party tripartite race", which greatly increases the "optionality" of the united states. lai ching-te was not the best candidate for the united states to select an "agent" from the beginning. therefore, lai ching-te must find ways to put all competitors inside and outside the party in jail, or at least ruin their reputation.

what is certain is that, regardless of whether the blue and white parties can avoid this storm, the dpp will likely remain in power on the island for a long time. from the perspective of the mainland, this means that the dpp will be more arrogant and willful in cross-strait issues in the future, but it is undeniable that it is precisely this kind of hysterical madness that can make both sides of the strait completely give up their illusions about "taiwan independence" and accelerate the process of unification.