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Just betting that China dare not fire the first shot? The Philippines was about to tear up the agreement, and the Shandong ship rushed to the South China Sea

2024-08-17

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Since President Marcos Jr. took office, the Philippines has tried to "win big with small" on the South China Sea issue, relying on the support of external forces and constantly testing China's bottom line. In June this year, after paying the price of 7 injuries and 1 severed finger at Ren'ai Reef, the Philippines took the initiative to propose peace talks with China and reached a temporary agreement on the management and control of the Ren'ai Reef situation. China announced three principled positions. First, China still requires the Philippines to tow away the warships; second, from a humanitarian perspective, the Philippines is allowed to transport basic living supplies such as food and drinking water, but it needs to notify China in advance; third, it is not allowed to transport large amounts of building materials, and the illegal "beached" warships must be reinforced, otherwise China will take resolute countermeasures.

The three principled positions proposed by China not only reflect respect for international law and international norms, but also demonstrate China's responsibility as a responsible major country. However, the Philippines selectively ignored these reasonable demands and instead sought support from external forces, trying to gain momentum through military assistance and joint exercises. Philippine President Marcos Jr. emphasized that he would strengthen cooperation with the United States and respond to China and the South China Sea situation in a more flexible way. Subsequently, the Philippines invited the United States, Japan and Australia to hold large-scale joint military exercises in the South China Sea. With the support of external forces, the Philippines has started a new round of provocations, even sending military aircraft to intrude into the airspace near Huangyan Island in an attempt to harass the normal training activities of the People's Liberation Army.

Faced with the provocative behavior of the Philippines, the PLA quickly took action to warn and expel the Philippine military aircraft. However, the Philippines not only did not know how to restrain itself, but also turned the tables and slandered China for taking "dangerous actions", trying to disguise itself as a victim in order to gain sympathy and attention from international public opinion. Earlier, Philippine Deputy Foreign Minister Zaro claimed that the previous understanding reached with China only applied to Ren'ai Reef and did not represent all the compromises of the Philippines' position on the South China Sea. He also said that if necessary, this temporary agreement may be re-evaluated in the future. The implication is that the Philippines wants to tear up this agreement and step up its activities on Xianbin Reef.