2024-08-12
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According to a report by the Global Times, two intelligence sources familiar with the matter said that Hezbollah in Lebanon is increasingly likely to launch an attack on Israel in the coming days "independently" of Iran's intentions. CNN quoted the above sources as saying that Hezbollah is faster than Iran in planning and "is planning to attack Israel in the coming days." At the same time, several officials told the media that Iran seems to be still studying how to respond. In addition, a US military official revealed that Iran has made some preparations, but has not yet completed all the preparations that the United States judges should be seen before (Iran) launches a large-scale attack on Israel.
Hezbollah in Lebanon was so brave and fearless that it launched a dense rocket attack on northern Israel in a short period of time. The scene was simply a firestorm, with more than 500 rockets fired in a few hours. These rockets were not vegetarian, some of them accurately hit Israeli military facilities, causing a direct blow to their military forces; some landed in residential areas, causing innocent people to fall into panic and danger.
Now, Iran is likely to retaliate against Israel, but only in a small way. Although the consequences of a full-scale conflict are extremely serious, Iran will carefully weigh the proxies and may take relatively covert and small-scale retaliatory actions to maintain national dignity and respond to public anger. It may support proxies to create some trouble around Israel, or put pressure on Israel in non-traditional areas such as cyber and intelligence.