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Expert analysis: The US's continued unilateral favoritism towards Israel may lead to a long-term "stalemate" in ceasefire negotiations

2024-07-23

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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu left for the United States on the 22nd. According to the plan, he will meet with US President Biden and deliver a speech to the US Congress. In this regard, Li Zixin, an assistant researcher at the China Institute of International Studies, analyzed thatThe current Palestinian-Israeli conflict continues and the risk of spillover increases. Under the circumstances of the international community's general pressure on Israel, the United States still invited Netanyahu to visit, which shows that the United States' unilateral favoritism towards Israel on the Palestinian-Israeli issue is still continuing.

Li Zixin, assistant researcher at the China Institute of International Studies:Netanyahu's visit to the United States was at the invitation of the U.S. Congress. In fact, it was more of a decision made by the two parties in the United States for their own party interests and to win domestic public support, rather than for the current situation on the ground in Gaza or other parts of the Middle East. The special relationship between the United States and Israel has been continued after the sudden escalation of the current round of Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and it can even be said that it has been further strengthened. Both parties in the U.S. Congress are vying to express their support for Israel, but the specific means of support are different.

Li Zixin, assistant researcher at the China Institute of International Studies:The changes in the United States will not have a very serious impact on Netanyahu's visit to the United States. The Republican and Democratic parties may become more radical in their statements regarding Israel during Netanyahu's visit to the United States. Netanyahu's statements in the United States may also change. The focus may change from raising expectations for the United States or criticizing some current policies to reshaping the future US policies regarding Israel, so that no matter who wins the US presidential election in the end, they will give greater support to Israel and Netanyahu himself.

Multiple uncertainties may cause the ceasefire negotiations to drag on for a long time

Li Zixin, assistant researcher at the China Institute of International Studies:The ceasefire negotiations in Gaza are currently in a state of stalemate. Whether an agreement can be successfully reached in the future depends on whether Israel can show greater political will. At present, Israel's military operations in Gaza are still ongoing, and the game between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthi armed forces in Yemen is further intensifying, posing greater challenges to regional security. At present, the United States, which has a special influence on Israel, is not only facing a domestic presidential election, but also a major change in the election situation, which will lead to adjustments in the United States' ceasefire negotiation policy. With so many uncertainties, the ceasefire negotiations may be in a relatively long-term tug-of-war state.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will visit the United States on the 22nd>>